Created on 2020-08-19
Last UK data from 2020-08-19
| Deaths reported so far | 41381 |
| Total Covid deaths to date (estimated) | 65583 |
| Projected total deaths up to 2020-09-13 | 65981 |
Time based on days since 10 deaths
| Country ID | Country name | Total deaths |
|---|---|---|
| DE | Germany | 9243 |
| ES | Spain | 28670 |
| FR | France | 30451 |
| IE | Ireland | 1775 |
| IT | Italy | 35405 |
| UK | United_Kingdom | 41381 |
From week ending 20 March 2020 until week ending 03 July 2020, there were approximately 64734 excess deaths, over the average for the previous five years.
In that period, the UK reported 40532 Covid deaths. In the last three weeks for which excess deaths have been reported, the excess deaths have been 1.000 higher than the Covid-reported deaths.
The UK has reported 41381 deaths so far. Using the scaling factor above (for Covid-19 deaths after the ONS figures), I infer that there have been 65583 total deaths so far.
Based on a 7-day moving average
The UK’s daily deaths data is very similar to Italy’s. If I use the Italian data for the next 24 days (from 25 May 2020 onwards), the UK will report 41684 deaths on day 183 of the epidemic.
Using the excess deaths scaling from above, that will translate into 65981 Covid deaths total.
Based on a 7-day moving average
Based on a 7-day moving average
| Country ID | Country name | Most recent daily cases | Most recent daily deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| DE | Germany | 1199 | 5 |
| ES | Spain | 5369 | 13 |
| FR | France | 2442 | 14 |
| IE | Ireland | 100 | 0 |
| IT | Italy | 486 | 27 |
| UK | United_Kingdom | 1071 | 10 |
(Figures are 7-day averages)
Covid data from European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control
Population data from: