X-Git-Url: https://git.njae.me.uk/?p=covid19.git;a=blobdiff_plain;f=covid_summary.html;fp=covid_summary.html;h=0000000000000000000000000000000000000000;hp=36bd6b84f2aa6c602282150ddd2079997a8a38bd;hb=5afedd66506be7575034ae6deebcfaa7c2ced978;hpb=4abff18d7988bdea04a267a08a0792ba570fe0bd diff --git a/covid_summary.html b/covid_summary.html deleted file mode 100644 index 36bd6b8..0000000 --- a/covid_summary.html +++ /dev/null @@ -1,188 +0,0 @@ - - - - - - - - Covid death data summary - - - - -
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Covid death data summary

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Neil Smith

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Created on 2020-08-19

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Last UK data from 2020-08-19

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Headlines

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Deaths reported so far41381
Total Covid deaths to date (estimated)65583
Projected total deaths up to 2020-09-1365981
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Total deaths

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Time based on days since 10 deaths

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-Total deaths
Total deaths
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Country IDCountry nameTotal deaths
DEGermany9243
ESSpain28670
FRFrance30451
IEIreland1775
ITItaly35405
UKUnited_Kingdom41381
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All-causes deaths, UK

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-All-causes deaths
All-causes deaths
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Excess deaths

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From week ending 20 March 2020 until week ending 03 July 2020, there were approximately 64734 excess deaths, over the average for the previous five years.

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In that period, the UK reported 40532 Covid deaths. In the last three weeks for which excess deaths have been reported, the excess deaths have been 1.000 higher than the Covid-reported deaths.

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The UK has reported 41381 deaths so far. Using the scaling factor above (for Covid-19 deaths after the ONS figures), I infer that there have been 65583 total deaths so far.

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Deaths per day

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Based on a 7-day moving average

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-Deaths per day
Deaths per day
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Projected deaths

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The UK’s daily deaths data is very similar to Italy’s. If I use the Italian data for the next 24 days (from 25 May 2020 onwards), the UK will report 41684 deaths on day 183 of the epidemic.

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Using the excess deaths scaling from above, that will translate into 65981 Covid deaths total.

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Deaths doubling times

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Based on a 7-day moving average

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-Deaths doubling times
Deaths doubling times
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Cases per day and lockdown dates

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Based on a 7-day moving average

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-Cases per day
Cases per day
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Country IDCountry nameMost recent daily casesMost recent daily deaths
DEGermany11995
ESSpain536913
FRFrance244214
IEIreland1000
ITItaly48627
UKUnited_Kingdom107110
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(Figures are 7-day averages)

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Data sources

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Covid data from European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

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Population data from:

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Source code available

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