Created on 2020-05-24
---Last UK data from 2020-05-23
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| - | - |
|---|---|
| Deaths reported so far | -30615 | -
| Total Covid deaths to date | -64827 | -
| Projected total deaths up to 2020-06-09 | -71110 | -
Time based on days since 10 deaths
-| Country ID | -Country name | -Total deaths | -
|---|---|---|
| DE | -Germany | -8216 | -
| ES | -Spain | -28628 | -
| FR | -France | -28289 | -
| IE | -Ireland | -1592 | -
| IT | -Italy | -32616 | -
| UK | -United_Kingdom | -36393 | -
From week ending 20 March 2020, there have been approximately 54535 excess deaths, over the average for the previous five years.
-In that period, the UK reported 30615 Covid deaths. That means the actual number of Covid death is about 1.78 times higher than the reported figures.
-The UK has reported 36393 deaths so far. Using the scaling factor above, I infer that there have been 64827 total deaths so far.
-Based on a 7-day moving average
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The UKâs daily deaths data is very similar to Italyâs. If I use the Italian data for the next 16 days, the UK will report 39920 deaths on day 87 of the epidemic.
-Using the excess deaths scaling from above, that will translate into 71110 Covid deaths total.
-Based on a 7-day moving average
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--Covid data from European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control
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--Population data from:
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